Sunday, October 22, 2006

Senate Outlook

Whew... I've been pretty busy studying lately, so I've missed lots of posts.

This one is going to be about the whole outlook in the senate.

Senators in the United States are elected for six year terms. One third of them are up for election every two years.

Right now, the Senate is divided as follows: 55 Republicans, 44 Democrats and 1 Independent (who normally votes with the Democrats). For the Democrats to win back the Senate on Nov. 7th, they need to gain six seats, which is going to be very difficult.

Right now, there are eight races that are close and might change hands. Seven of these seats are Republicans, one Democrat. The Republican seats are: Missouri, Tennessee, Montana, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Ohio. The Democrat held one is in New Jersey. At this point, as far as I can tell, Montana, Rhode Island, Penn. have the Democrat ahead by a around ten percent, Ohio and Tenn. the Democrat is ahead by about 5 percent, Missouri seems to be tied, while in Virginia the Republican is slightly ahead.

As for the New Jersey race, the Democrat is slightly ahead as well.

Obviously, the Democrats are going to have to hold on the New Jersey and win six of the other seven to take back the Senate. This is going to be a tall order.

Also, there is the Connecticut senate race. Assuming that Joe Lieberman is able to win (and he is ahead right now) will he still caucus with the Democrats? He did lose the primary in August, and he may feel that the Democrats have betrayed him... so will he stay as an independent or join the Republicans?

Sigh... it's enough to keep a political junkie like me busy for hours!

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